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REGULATION
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6 months ago

Decentralized prediction markets surge 565% in Q3 2024, driven largely by bets on the US election outcomes

2024-10-15

REGULATION
by
6 months ago

 

Decentralized prediction market sector experienced a remarkable surge in Q3 2024, with trading volumes increasing by over 565%.

 

2024 Q3 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko


This growth is largely attributed to a flood of bets on the outcome of the upcoming U.S. presidential election, according to a report from CoinGecko on October 14.

 

The report highlights that the total volume across the top three prediction markets reached $3.1 billion in Q3, increase from the $466.3 million recorded in the previous quarter.

 

Polymarket, a leading platform in the sector, captured 99% of the market share in September. It saw its volume skyrocket by 713.2% and transactions rise by 848.5% during the quarter.

 

Bets on the U.S. presidential election have been a key driver, with $1.7 billion placed on the outcome since the start of the year, accounting for nearly 46% of Polymarket’s total volume in 2024.

 

This massive growth in decentralized prediction markets suggests that these platforms may offer a more accurate gauge of public sentiment than traditional polling methods.

 

As the U.S. election approaches, the prediction market space is expected to remain a hotspot for traders and political analysts.

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